Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 2.986233e-01 0.402228 0.522984 0.671883 0.848292 1.048463 1.290553
2025-12-07 1.696031e-01 0.293024 0.460326 0.693164 0.998347 1.374755 1.863763
2025-12-14 9.254111e-02 0.212209 0.402284 0.698611 1.122174 1.680586 2.446278
2025-12-21 4.595994e-02 0.148855 0.343661 0.683428 1.208980 1.942584 2.993948
2025-12-28 2.345163e-02 0.111720 0.310844 0.694704 1.328601 2.254139 3.625780
2026-01-04 1.059211e-02 0.082200 0.278182 0.695282 1.427042 2.538875 4.234738
2026-01-11 3.488862e-03 0.056015 0.238306 0.670584 1.477398 2.752132 4.750648
2026-01-18 8.099890e-04 0.038202 0.207075 0.652456 1.532440 2.971699 5.282275
2026-01-25 1.163789e-04 0.027760 0.189123 0.656212 1.623503 3.249827 5.909517
2026-02-01 3.691846e-08 0.017523 0.161960 0.630550 1.655112 3.431761 6.396927
2026-02-08 NaN 0.013865 0.157748 0.659135 1.791486 3.790556 7.165859
2026-02-15 NaN 0.009503 0.144487 0.660225 1.872473 4.059398 7.803263
2026-02-22 NaN 0.008244 0.148411 0.711263 2.062106 4.526198 8.774177
2026-03-01 NaN 0.006369 0.145487 0.742036 2.212560 4.932829 9.663818
2026-03-08 NaN 0.004303 0.136508 0.752202 2.320036 5.269244 10.451918
2026-03-15 NaN 0.002366 0.121507 0.738453 2.373653 5.512316 11.096615
2026-03-22 NaN 0.001482 0.115097 0.751518 2.487164 5.865962 11.929156
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000782 0.106202 0.752723 2.572956 6.171690 12.689865
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000251 0.091675 0.726895 2.592430 6.355614 13.253502
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000054 0.080135 0.707855 2.625116 6.563938 13.861565
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000010 0.074433 0.711908 2.714317 6.881135 14.658894
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.063227 0.684763 2.721665 7.041692 15.194199
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.063415 0.715061 2.879435 7.497086 16.240776